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Middle East
Volume
$444.0K
Traders
1,060
Closes
3mo
What ends the Hormuz crisis first?
International naval escort regime
40¢
Unilateral Iranian reopening
28¢
Negotiated US-Iran deal
26¢
Still closed at year-end
7¢
All-time price history
Negotiated US-Iran deal
+7%
Still closed at year-end
+21%
Unilateral Iranian reopening
-13%
International naval escort regime
-15%
Trade
When does an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire start?
Saudi Arabia normalizes with Israel in 2026?
What ends the Hormuz crisis first?
International naval escort regime
4
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
Unilateral Iranian reopening
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Negotiated Us Iran Deal
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Still Closed At Year End
7
¢
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$444K
3mo
Saudi Arabia normalizes with Israel in 2026?
7
0
¢
3
0
¢
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
$349K
5mo
When does an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire start?
Aug Sept 2026
6
5
¢
Yes
65¢
No
35¢
Oct Dec 2026
1
6
¢
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Not in 2026
9
¢
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Before Aug 1, 2026
9
¢
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
$228K
5mo
When do US and Iran sign a deal?
No deal in sight
4
5
¢
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
By Aug 31, 2026
2
3
¢
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Sept Dec 2026
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
In 2027
1
3
¢
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
$216K
5mo
An OPEC member exits the group?
2
4
¢
7
6
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
$221K
9mo
A new nuclear agreement with Iran?
2
1
¢
7
9
¢
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
$217K
9mo
Suez Canal traffic back to 2024 by year-end?
7
3
¢
2
7
¢
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
$216K
5mo
A new normalisation agreement?
3
1
¢
6
9
¢
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
$179K
9mo