53%chance
Economists put 12-month recession odds near a third amid the oil shock and tariffs. Resolves YES if the NBER dates a US recession beginning in 2026, declared by year-end. Source: NBER.
Just saw the news - this changes everything!
Looking at the data, this could go either way.
Just bought more shares. Feeling confident about this outcome.
Adding to my position here. The odds are in our favor.
New to this market - what am I missing?
Fading this. The smart money is on the other side.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
This reminds me of a similar market last year. Same setup.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Market hasn't caught up to the latest developments yet.
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.
Anyone have insights on the resolution criteria?