29%chance
Predicts whether the federal workforce shrinks amid the administration's headcount-reduction push. Resolves YES if December 2026 federal government nonfarm employment (per the BLS) is below the December 2025 level. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The market is pricing this wrong. Easy money here.
This is looking bullish! The momentum is definitely there.
The market is pricing this wrong. Easy money here.
This is my largest position. Very confident.
New to this market - what am I missing?
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Interesting market but I'm staying on the sidelines.
This is going to move hard when people wake up to this.
Just saw the news - this changes everything!
Just took some profits. Still holding a core position.
I think people are overreacting. This won't happen.
This reminds me of a similar market last year. Same setup.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Anyone have insights on the resolution criteria?