38%chance
Argentina's managed FX regime faces pressure after Milei's strong 2025 midterm and ongoing reserve strains. Resolves YES if the official ARS/USD rate closes above 1,500 pesos per dollar on Dec 31, 2026. Source: Banco Central de la Republica Argentina (BCRA).
This reminds me of a similar market last year. Same setup.
Fading this. The smart money is on the other side.
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.
This needs more liquidity. Hard to get good fills.