28%chance
Predicts whether the Paxton-Talarico Texas Senate matchup stays Republican. Resolves YES if Ken Paxton (R) defeats James Talarico (D) in the November 3, 2026 general election. Source: AP race call.
This reminds me of a similar market last year. Same setup.
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.
Anyone know when we'll get more clarity on this?
This is looking bullish! The momentum is definitely there.
This is my largest position. Very confident.
Looking at the data, this could go either way.
This is my largest position. Very confident.
The recent news should move this significantly.