45%chance
Nicolas Maduro was taken into US custody in January 2026 following his capture by US forces. Resolves YES if Maduro remains in US custody on Dec 31, 2026 (not released or transferred to another government). Source: US Department of Justice / Reuters.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Been trading prediction markets for years. This is one of the clearest opportunities I've seen.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Just saw the news - this changes everything!
Market hasn't caught up to the latest developments yet.
Does anyone have a source for the resolution criteria?
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.
Fading this. The smart money is on the other side.
Market hasn't caught up to the latest developments yet.
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.
Been trading prediction markets for years. This is one of the clearest opportunities I've seen.
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.