47%chance
Predicts the national House popular-vote margin in 2026. Resolves YES if the combined Democratic House vote exceeds the Republican House vote by 5.0 points or more on November 3, 2026. Source: certified national totals.
Just bought more shares. Feeling confident about this outcome.
This probability seems too optimistic to me.
I'm not so sure about this one. The odds seem too high.
Disagree with the current pricing. Here's why...
Interesting market but I'm staying on the sidelines.
Anyone else think this is overvalued right now?
This is my largest position. Very confident.
Looking at the data, this could go either way.