65%chance
On the eastern DRC conflict despite US and Qatari mediation. Resolves YES if the DRC government and the M23/AFC sign a comprehensive peace agreement before Dec 31, 2026. Source: Reuters, AU.
Following this one closely. Lots of catalysts coming up.
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.
This is looking bullish! The momentum is definitely there.
This is my largest position. Very confident.
Following this one closely. Lots of catalysts coming up.
This is going to move hard when people wake up to this.
Fading this. The smart money is on the other side.
This probability seems too optimistic to me.
New to this market - what am I missing?
This needs more liquidity. Hard to get good fills.
Great analysis in this thread. Thanks everyone.