73%chance
Tests the President's coattails in competitive Senate races. Resolves YES if at least one Trump-endorsed 2026 Republican Senate nominee loses the general election. Source: AP race calls.
This is going to move hard when people wake up to this.
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.
The market is pricing this wrong. Easy money here.
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.
The market is pricing this wrong. Easy money here.
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.