Demo mode: simulated data, for showcase onlyDemo mode: simulated data, for showcase onlyDemo mode: simulated data, for showcase only
75%chance
GPT-5.2 Pro became the first model past 90% on ARC-AGI-1. Resolves YES if any model posts a verified ARC-AGI-1 score of 95% or higher in 2026. Source: ARC Prize leaderboard.
Interesting market but I'm staying on the sidelines.
Does anyone have a source for the resolution criteria?
Anyone else think this is overvalued right now?
Anyone else think this is overvalued right now?
Historical data suggests these markets tend to overcorrect. Buying the dip.
This reminds me of a similar market last year. Same setup.
The recent news should move this significantly.
I'm not so sure about this one. The odds seem too high.
The volume on this market has been insane lately.